NWS Forecast Discussion
513
FXUS63 KMPX 041045
AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
545 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
-Areas of frost are expected early Monday morning across
central Minnesota & western Wisconsin.
-Dry weather continues through the week with warmer
temperatures.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 354 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
High pressure settles over the region today with sunny skies &
seasonable temperatures in the low to mid 60s. Clear skies and
light winds tonight will create ideal radiational cooling
conditions, with temperatures falling into the mid to upper 30s
across central Minnesota & western Wisconsin and generally low
40s elsewhere. Issued a Frost Advisory for portions of central
Minnesota & western Wisconsin, with areas of frost most likely
in rural & low-lying areas through sunrise. Take care to protect
any sensitive vegetation in these areas
Upper level ridging builds over the central CONUS through the
week, leading to a stretch of dry weather along with generally
above normal temperatures. Highs most days will end up in the
mid to upper 60s, with the exception of Tuesday when stronger
southerly flow ahead of a frontal passage raises temperatures
well into the 70s. Temperatures warm back into the mid 60s
Monday before southerly flow pushes highs well into the 70s
Tuesday. Little chance for precipitation through the week, with
the next shot at rain looking possible for the latter half of
next weekend
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 543 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
VFR through the period with mostly clear skies. Northwest winds
increase to around 10 kts by the afternoon, along with a few
gusts up to 20 kts. Speeds drop below 5 kts after sunset &
become more variable after midnight.
KMSP...No additional concerns.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON PM...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts.
TUE...VFR. Wind SW 10-20 kts.
WED...VFR. Wind NW 10-20 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Monday for Benton-Chisago-
Isanti-Kanabec-Mille Lacs-Morrison-Todd.
WI...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Monday for Barron-
Chippewa-Eau Claire-Polk-Rusk.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...ETA
NWS MPX Office Area Forecast Discussion