NWS Forecast

National Weather Service Forecast for: Zumbrota
Updated: Thu, 21-Feb-2019 4:42am CST
Today

Today: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 22 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 9 °F ↑
Friday

Friday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Hi 31 °F ↓
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Light Snow
Light Snow

Lo 26 °F ↑
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Freezing Drizzle then Chance Light Snow
Chance Freezing Drizzle then Chance Light Snow

Hi 33 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Snow
Snow

Lo 17 °F ↑
Sunday

Sunday: Patchy Blowing Snow
Patchy Blowing Snow

Hi 20 °F ↓
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Patchy Blowing Snow then Partly Cloudy
Patchy Blowing Snow then Partly Cloudy

Lo -5 °F
Monday

Monday: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Snow
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Snow

Hi 9 °F
 
WxSim
7:00
Today

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday
night
Mix
Cold!
Mix
Cold!
Saturday

Freezing Rain
Cold!
Freezing Rain
Cold!
Saturday
night
Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Sunday

Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Sunday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Monday

Snow
Snow
High: 30°Low: 17°High: 39°Low: 26°High: 35°Low: 23°High: 25° Low: 7°High: 10°

WxSim & NWS Forecast Temperature Comparisons

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Morning Forecasts
Updated: 02-21-19 at 3:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-21-19 7   6 22 ↓   30 9 ↑   17 31 ↓   40 26 ↑   27 33   37 17 ↑   23 20 ↓   25
02-20-19 11 ↑ 10.7 17 30 30.8 26 11   17 23 ↓   29 10 ↑   18 32   34 25 ↑   29 34   33
02-19-19 -6 -13.5 -11 17 20.5 23 12 ↑ 10.7 16 28 30.8 26 13   21 24 ↓   28 7   14 29   33
02-18-19 4 ↑ -0.3 6 17 ↓ 19.5 25 -4 -13.5 7 16 20.5 31 11 ↑ 10.7 18 27 30.8 25 12   18 22   27
02-17-19 9 ↑ 8.1 17 23 24.1 21 6 ↑ -0.3 12 17 ↓ 19.5 23 -2 -13.5 7 15 20.5 26 11 ↑ 10.7 17 26 30.8 24
02-16-19 -6 -10.5 -9 19 ↓ 20.4 22 12 8.1 19 22 24.1 26 9 -0.3 13 18 ↓ 19.5 19 -2 -13.5 4 13 20.5 17
02-15-19 -7 -7.0 -6 9 ↓ 9.8 15 -4 -10.5 7 19 ↓ 20.4 26 12 8.1 16 23 24.1 18 7 -0.3 10 19 19.5 21
02-14-19 18 ↑ 19.2 19 27 ↓ 28.4 17 -3 -7.0 27 10 ↓ 9.8 6 -3 -10.5 20 18 20.4 8 11 8.1 24 21 24.1 13
02-13-19 3 20.5 6 20 4.0 32 17 ↑ 19.2 27 27 ↓ 28.4 30 -3 -7.0 4 11 9.8 22 -3 -10.5 9 17 20.4 26
02-12-19 22 23.1 20 25 25.0 21 4 ↑ 20.5 8 22 ↓ 4.0 30 13 ↑ 19.2 25 23 ↓ 28.4 31 -2 -7.0 6 10 9.8 21
02-11-19 13 17.7 16 26 26.2 24 22 ↑ 23.1 16 25 25.0 21 3 20.5 5 16 4.0 27 5 ↑ 19.2 19 20 28.4 25
02-10-19 7 ↑ 6.6 9 21 21.0 15 12 17.7 10 26 26.2 22 22 ↑ 23.1 19 26 25.0 22 9 20.5 4 20 4.0 19
02-09-19 -17 -21.5 -21 11 10.8 11 6 6.6 8 19 21.0 15 11 17.7 13 26 26.2 24 21 23.1 22 27 25.0 28
02-08-19 -11 ↑ -10.9 -8 -2 ↓ 0.0 7 -22 -21.5 -2 11 10.8 18 4 6.6 12 18 21.0 18 6 17.7 14 23 26.2 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 5 10 2 4 1 7 2 2 0 5 1 1 2 3 2
% Succ 53.8   38.5 76.9   15.4 33.3   8.3 58.3   16.7 18.2   0.0 45.5   9.1 10.0   20.0 30.0   20.0
Ave Error 3.6   4.0 2.3   6.3 4.8   13.0 2.9   6.6 6.4   11.5 3.4   6.9 7.4   10.4 4.9   6.2
Net Error -0.2   1.0 0.2   1.4 0.4   8.5 0.1   2.8 0.2   7.0 -0.8   0.9 -0.5   6.1 -1.3   1.2
Std Dev 4.6   4.1 4.1   7.1 4.5   9.2 4.8   6.8 5.5   9.1 3.5   6.9 5.6   7.9 3.9   4.8

Mid Day Forecasts
Updated: 02-20-19 at 10:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-20-19 31   27 11   18 23 ↓   33 10 ↑   19 32   39 25 ↑   28 34   36 22   27
02-19-19 18 ↓ 20.5 23 12 ↑ 10.7 15 28   25 14   17 23 ↓   29 9   13 29   32 22   28
02-18-19 17 ↓ 19.5 23 -4 -13.5 3 16 20.5 28 11 ↑ 10.7 20 27   27 12   14 22   31 8   14
02-17-19 24 24.1 22 7 ↑ -0.3 10 16 ↓ 19.5 26 -2 -13.5 8 15 20.5 29 11 ↑ 10.7 18 26   23 10   10
02-16-19 19 ↓ 20.4 19 12 8.1 16 22 24.1 20 9 -0.3 12 18 ↓ 19.5 19 -2 -13.5 4 13 20.5 20 5 ↑ 10.7 12
02-15-19 9 ↓ 9.8 11 -4 -10.5 4 19 ↓ 20.4 27 12 8.1 19 23 24.1 22 7 -0.3 12 19 19.5 19 0 -13.5 4
02-14-19 26 ↓ 28.4 19 -6 -7.0 17 10 ↓ 9.8 27 -3 -10.5 6 18 20.4 20 11 8.1 8 21 24.1 24 9 -0.3 13
02-13-19 20 20.5 26 17 ↑ 19.2 22 27 ↓ 28.4 28 -3 -7.0 6 11 9.8 22 -3 -10.5 9 17 20.4 28 7 8.1 15
02-12-19 25 ↓ 25.0 25 3 ↑ 4.0 7 22 ↓ 20.5 31 13 ↑ 19.2 25 23 ↓ 28.4 27 -2 -7.0 6 10 9.8 21 -4 -10.5 6
02-11-19 26 26.2 27 22 ↑ 23.1 18 25 ↓ 25.0 21 3 4.0 4 16 20.5 29 5 ↑ 19.2 24 20 28.4 27 10 -7.0 1
02-10-19 21 21.0 20 12 17.7 16 26 26.2 29 22 ↑ 23.1 22 25 25.0 23 5 4.0 8 16 20.5 23 4 19.2 10
02-09-19 11 10.8 8 6 6.6 6 19 21.0 20 11 17.7 17 26 26.2 25 21 23.1 24 27 25.0 26 9 4.0 15
02-08-19 -3 0.0 7 -22 -21.5 -2 11 10.8 19 7 6.6 13 19 21.0 21 9 17.7 14 24 26.2 25 18 23.1 24
02-07-19 21 ↓ 21.8 16 -10 -10.9 5 -2 ↓ 0.0 11 -20 -21.5 -3 11 10.8 17 4 6.6 11 17 21.0 16 5 17.7 0
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 5 7 2 9 2 5 3 7 6 2 2 3 6 1 2
% Succ 69.2   38.5 53.8   15.4 75.0   16.7 41.7   25.0 63.6   54.5 18.2   18.2 30.0   60.0 10.0   20.0
Ave Error 1.1   3.3 3.2   9.7 1.6   6.7 4.5   9.7 2.2   3.9 5.7   8.0 3.6   3.1 9.1   10.2
Net Error -1.1   -0.2 1.5   8.6 -1.3   5.1 2.0   9.4 -1.9   2.5 0.7   7.3 -3.1   1.4 1.2   4.9
Std Dev 1.1   2.8 3.0   7.6 1.4   5.1 3.8   7.4 2.1   4.2 5.0   7.0 3.3   3.9 7.0   7.8

Evening Forecasts
Updated: 02-20-19 at 7:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-20-19 11   12 22 ↓   31 11 ↑   18 31   42 26 ↑   29 34   36 19 ↑   23 23 ↓   24
02-19-19 12 ↑ 10.7 9 29 20.5 27 12   15 24 ↓   28 10   16 31   33 22   28 35   38
02-18-19 -5 -13.5 1 17 19.5 25 12 ↑ 10.7 18 28 20.5 26 13   19 24 ↓   27 7   11 29   33
02-17-19 5 ↑ -0.3 13 16 ↓ 24.1 28 -4 -13.5 9 16 19.5 31 10 ↑ 10.7 18 26 20.5 24 11   16 22   28
02-16-19 11 ↑ 8.1 13 23 20.4 20 9 -0.3 12 18 ↓ 24.1 20 -3 -13.5 6 14 ↓ 19.5 23 8 ↑ 10.7 16 24 20.5 23
02-15-19 -4 -10.5 0 18 9.8 24 12 8.1 20 22 20.4 25 8 -0.3 12 19 ↓ 24.1 18 -1 -13.5 4 14 19.5 18
02-14-19 -6 -7.0 2 10 ↓ 28.4 19 -3 -10.5 8 19 9.8 26 11 8.1 18 23 20.4 20 9 -0.3 11 20 24.1 19
02-12-19 3 19.2 15 20 20.5 34 16 ↑ -7.0 26 27 ↓ 28.4 28 -2 -10.5 9 11 9.8 26 -4 8.1 11 16 20.4 23
02-11-19 23 23.1 18 25 26.2 21 4 ↑ 19.2 9 21 ↓ 20.5 29 10 ↑ -7.0 24 22 28.4 26 5 -10.5 7 14 9.8 18
02-10-19 13 17.7 15 26 21.0 28 22 ↑ 23.1 23 26 ↓ 26.2 25 3 19.2 7 16 ↓ 20.5 27 3 -7.0 16 21 28.4 35
02-09-19 6 ↑ 6.6 8 21 10.8 18 13 17.7 16 26 21.0 26 22 ↑ 23.1 24 26 26.2 26 9 19.2 8 20 20.5 21
02-08-19 -20 -21.5 -13 11 0.0 12 7 6.6 7 20 10.8 16 11 17.7 15 26 21.0 24 21 23.1 21 27 26.2 23
02-07-19 -10 -10.9 3 -2 ↓ 21.8 14 -18 -21.5 2 13 0.0 21 4 6.6 15 18 10.8 18 6 17.7 8 23 21.0 24
02-06-19 20 15.2 15 21 ↓ 21.7 16 -8 ↑ -10.9 -1 -1 ↓ 21.8 2 -17 -21.5 -11 11 0.0 12 3 6.6 7 17 10.8 11
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 3 3 1 3 3 4 2 2 1 2 2 0 1 3 3
% Succ 46.2   23.1 23.1   7.7 25.0   25.0 33.3   16.7 18.2   9.1 18.2   18.2     10.0 30.0   30.0
Ave Error 4.2   6.9 7.7   7.6 6.9   12.6 6.7   8.6 7.2   12.2 4.9   5.5 9.0   10.1 3.9   3.3
Net Error 0.9   4.8 -0.7   3.2 3.4   10.6 1.0   4.3 2.2   9.5 1.0   3.9 0.5   5.5 -0.5   1.4
Std Dev 4.4   4.8 6.8   4.3 6.8   10.5 4.6   5.8 6.4   9.8 3.3   5.0 6.5   8.7 2.7   2.9

Overnight Forecasts
Updated: 02-20-19 at 10:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-20-19 11   9 22 ↓   31 11 ↑   18 31   40 26 ↑   28 34   36 19 ↑   22 23 ↓   24
02-19-19 12 ↑ 10.7 11 29 20.5 26 12   14 24 ↓   28 10   16 31   33 22   28 35   38
02-18-19 -6 -13.5 -2 17 19.5 25 12 ↑ 10.7 19 28 20.5 26 13   20 24 ↓   27 7   11 29   32
02-17-19 4 ↑ -0.3 11 16 ↓ 24.1 27 -4 -13.5 10 16 19.5 30 10 ↑ 10.7 18 26 20.5 24 11   16 22   28
02-16-19 12 ↑ 8.1 8 23 20.4 21 9 -0.3 12 18 ↓ 24.1 21 -3 -13.5 7 14 ↓ 19.5 22 8 ↑ 10.7 16 24 20.5 23
02-15-19 -4 -10.5 -4 18 9.8 24 12 8.1 20 22 20.4 25 8 -0.3 12 19 ↓ 24.1 18 -1 -13.5 4 14 19.5 18
02-14-19 -6 -7.0 0 10 ↓ 28.4 17 -3 -10.5 7 19 9.8 26 11 8.1 17 23 20.4 20 9 -0.3 11 20 24.1 19
02-13-19 18 ↑ 19.2 19 25 ↓ 20.5 17 -4 -7.0 27 11 ↓ 28.4 6 -2 -10.5 20 18 9.8 8 10 8.1 24 20 20.4 13
02-12-19 3 ↑ 25.0 10 20 4.0 33 16 ↑ 19.2 25 27 ↓ 20.5 28 -2 -7.0 9 11 28.4 25 -4 -10.5 11 16 9.8 22
02-11-19 23 23.1 18 25 26.2 21 4 ↑ 25.0 11 21 ↓ 4.0 30 10 ↑ 19.2 24 22 20.5 26 5 -7.0 6 14 28.4 16
02-10-19 13 17.7 15 26 21.0 28 22 ↑ 23.1 23 26 ↓ 26.2 24 3 25.0 7 16 ↓ 4.0 27 3 19.2 16 21 20.5 36
02-09-19 6 ↑ 6.6 5 21 10.8 17 13 17.7 15 26 21.0 25 22 ↑ 23.1 22 26 26.2 25 9 25.0 7 20 4.0 20
02-08-19 -22 -21.5 -16 11 0.0 12 7 6.6 7 20 10.8 17 11 17.7 15 26 21.0 24 21 23.1 21 27 26.2 24
02-07-19 -10 -10.9 0 -2 ↓ 21.8 13 -18 -21.5 3 13 0.0 21 4 6.6 14 18 10.8 18 6 17.7 8 23 21.0 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 4 1 1 3 2 2 0 2 1 2 3 1 0 4 1
% Succ 53.8   30.8 7.7   7.7 25.0   16.7 16.7   0.0 18.2   9.1 18.2   27.3 10.0   0.0 40.0   10.0
Ave Error 4.2   6.0 9.2   8.6 5.7   12.9 8.0   10.8 7.0   11.8 6.4   5.2 9.1   11.8 5.3   7.8
Net Error -0.3   2.2 0.9   4.2 0.7   10.1 3.5   6.2 -0.6   7.8 1.3   2.9 -0.7   5.2 0.5   2.1
Std Dev 5.7   4.9 5.7   7.4 5.7   10.2 6.0   8.6 6.4   9.4 5.4   6.4 6.7   8.6 4.8   6.0